Calders vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
CAL
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUI
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VTO
0 - 2
CAL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
BER
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
CAL
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
GIR
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 5
BAG
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
6 - 0
CAS
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PUI
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |