Caldas vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
GDA
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CAL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
POM
3 - 2
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |