Caldas vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
6º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AMO
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
GDF
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 0
GDF
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |