Caldas vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
5 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | -1 |