Caldas vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
6º
32
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
AMO
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAL
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 0
ALV
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |