Padova vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
PAD
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
PAD
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 0
BV5
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TER
2 - 1
PAD
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
TER
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 4
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 3
TRI
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BV5
1 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |