Padova vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAD
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAD
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACP
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TRE
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 1
TRE
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |