Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAD
17%
25%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 2
RAV
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 0
UAR
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
PAD
11%
23%
66%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 2
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CES
1 - 3
SSS
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
4 - 2
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RAV
0 - 2
SSS
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |