Padova vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 1
PAD
30%
30%
41%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GIU
1 - 3
PAD
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 3
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAD
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SOR
4 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RIM
4 - 2
SOR
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 3
REG
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
SOR
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 0
CHI
34%
31%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |