Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASG
0 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 3
PAD
14%
24%
62%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
5 - 3
VIS
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 0
FAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MOD
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 2
FCS
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |