Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
COM
4 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 3
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
58%
23%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MOD
3 - 1
FAN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |