Padova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
57%
27%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
PAD
2 - 2
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAD
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
GEN
0 - 1
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
ARZ
1 - 2
LEC
38%
32%
30%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
40%
32%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSB
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |