Padova vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
PAD
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 2
EMP
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
4 - 1
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
4 - 0
PAD
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PAD
3 - 1
PES
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 3
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
3 - 0
FRO
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 0
TRI
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 4
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
FRO
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |