Padova vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 2
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 2
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SOR
1 - 2
PAD
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 0
VIS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FER
0 - 2
SOR
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
RIM
0 - 0
FER
73%
17%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FER
0 - 4
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |