Padova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 0
LEC
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |