Padova vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 0
ALV
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ASL
3 - 2
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASL
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 3
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 0
SPE
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
4 - 0
REG
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |