Lecco vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACM
45%
28%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 0
LEC
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
USP
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ACG
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACD
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ACM
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 4
SAN
14%
26%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |