Lecco vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 2
LEC
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRE
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
LEC
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
BUS
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
LEC
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 3
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 1
PSM
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
TRE
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PSM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 0
BUS
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |