Lecco vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
ARC
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 3
LEC
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 2
LEC
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
DCA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
NOV
10%
19%
72%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
26%
27%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
INV
3 - 2
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
CUN
25%
27%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
BUS
66%
18%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |