Lecco vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 0
ALV
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
3 - 2
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |