Lecco vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
35%
27%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
PER
36%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
3 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 1
STG
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 3
ACC
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
ACM
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 3
TRE
22%
27%
51%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |