Como U19 vs Vicenza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
23%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
13º
7º
35
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 3
COM
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COM
3 - 5
BRE
43%
21%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 2
COM
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COM
3 - 4
PAR
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
COM
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Vicenza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
BRE
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 2
VIC
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUB
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
REG
1 - 1
VIC
10%
14%
76%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 3
PAD
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |