Calasparra vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MAZ
2 - 3
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAL
2 - 1
MME
16%
22%
63%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +4 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MOL
1 - 4
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAL
4 - 1
MUL
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 2
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
IMP
0 - 0
AGU
27%
25%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
IND
3 - 1
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
IMP
2 - 3
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
BAL
3 - 0
IMP
28%
26%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
IMP
3 - 2
PIN
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |