Calamonte vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CDB
0 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
CAL
3 - 3
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
PLA
1 - 0
CAL
75%
17%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CAL
4 - 1
UDF
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
ADL
0 - 3
CDB
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VIL
1 - 1
ADL
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ADL
0 - 1
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
UDF
1 - 1
ADL
31%
28%
41%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ADL
2 - 1
UCL
56%
24%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |