Calais vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESW
0 - 0
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 1
CAL
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 8
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 0
CAL
52%
27%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEH
4 - 0
DIE
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEH
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 0
FLE
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEH
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LEH
0 - 3
IRI
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |