Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESW
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAL
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
ROY
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
BOU
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ESW
2 - 2
ARR
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
BOU
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 5
TRO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |