Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OIS
0 - 2
CAL
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
ARR
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |