Clausura Peru Decentralised Championship 2014 Round 1

Los Caimanes vs Unión Comercio analysis

Los Caimanes Unión Comercio
66 ELO 65
0.5% Tilt 5%
21800º General ELO ranking 2383º
54º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Los Caimanes
26.8%
Draw
26.1%
Unión Comercio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Los Caimanes
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Los Caimanes
Unión Comercio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Los Caimanes
Los Caimanes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Los Caimanes
LOS
70%
18%
11%
65 73 8 0
23 Aug. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
2 - 1
Cienciano
CIE
46%
27%
27%
64 65 1 +1
18 Aug. 2014
HUA
Sport Huancayo
5 - 1
Los Caimanes
LOS
44%
26%
30%
65 61 4 -1
14 Aug. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
0 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
40%
29%
31%
65 72 7 0
08 Aug. 2014
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 0
Los Caimanes
LOS
47%
27%
26%
65 68 3 0

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2014
CIE
Cienciano
2 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
47%
26%
27%
66 65 1 0
24 Aug. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
2 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
30%
27%
43%
65 74 9 +1
17 Aug. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 2
Unión Comercio
COM
56%
26%
18%
64 72 8 +1
14 Aug. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 0
León de Huánuco
LEO
40%
27%
32%
64 69 5 0
10 Aug. 2014
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
1 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
61%
23%
16%
64 73 9 0