Cailungo vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAI
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
TPE
4 - 1
CAI
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
CAI
0 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 3
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
TPE
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
TFI
4 - 2
FIO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
TFI
0 - 3
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |