Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAI
2 - 4
TPE
44%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAI
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CAI
1 - 6
JUV
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 4
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 1
TFI
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |