San Marino League Normal Season Round 13

Cailungo vs Cosmos analysis

Cailungo Cosmos
44 ELO 48
-3.9% Tilt 3%
6907º General ELO ranking 1898º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.1%
Cailungo
24.8%
Draw
43.1%
Cosmos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
Cailungo
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.1%
Win probability
Cosmos
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cailungo
+55%
-7%
Cosmos

Points and table prediction

Cailungo
Their league position
Cosmos
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
14º
15º
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tre Penne
68
68
100%
Cosmos
67
67
100%
La Fiorita
60
60
100%
AC Virtus
57
57
100%
Tre Fiori
56
56
100%
Libertas
47
47
100%
Folgore
31
31
100%
Murata
30
30
100%
Juvenes / Dogana
29
29
100%
Domagnano
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Pennarossa
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Faetano
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Fiorentino
13º
23
23
13º
100%
San Giovanni
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Cailungo
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cailungo
Cosmos
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Cailungo
Cosmos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cailungo
Cailungo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
FAE
Faetano
3 - 0
Cailungo
CAI
68%
20%
13%
44 54 10 0
03 Dec. 2022
CAI
Cailungo
4 - 1
Murata
MUR
29%
25%
47%
41 48 7 +3
26 Nov. 2022
FOL
Folgore
4 - 1
Cailungo
CAI
66%
21%
12%
41 57 16 0
13 Nov. 2022
CAI
Cailungo
1 - 3
AC Virtus
VIR
18%
23%
59%
42 58 16 -1
05 Nov. 2022
LIB
Libertas
1 - 1
Cailungo
CAI
74%
17%
9%
42 59 17 0

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
COS
Cosmos
1 - 0
Tre Penne
TPE
9%
19%
72%
47 66 19 0
03 Dec. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
0 - 0
Cosmos
COS
63%
22%
15%
47 58 11 0
26 Nov. 2022
COS
Cosmos
4 - 0
Fiorentino
FIO
35%
25%
40%
44 49 5 +3
11 Nov. 2022
DOM
Domagnano
1 - 2
Cosmos
COS
57%
23%
21%
43 48 5 +1
22 Oct. 2022
JUV
Juvenes / Dogana
0 - 2
Cosmos
COS
54%
22%
24%
42 44 2 +1