CAI vs Estrella Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 1
CAI
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 1
JNC
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HUR
2 - 0
CAI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SDM
2 - 1
CAI
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAI
4 - 2
IND
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESN
1 - 1
DCA
9%
15%
77%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JNC
1 - 0
ESN
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |