CAI vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAI
3 - 1
SMA
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
TAL
0 - 0
CAI
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CAI
1 - 2
CAU
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAI
32%
26%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DYJ
1 - 1
TIG
47%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
INS
0 - 1
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DYJ
1 - 1
TFE
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 0
DYJ
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DYJ
0 - 0
ALD
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |