Cagliari vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
CAG
20%
28%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 1
OLB
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
HSV
4 - 1
CAG
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAG
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
AVE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
AVE
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |