Cagliari vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 2
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 1
CAG
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAG
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 2
FIO
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
SIE
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SIE
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SIE
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 1
PAL
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 0
SIE
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |