Cagliari vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAG
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
UDI
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
CAG
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAG
2 - 1
NOV
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
59%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
INT
0 - 3
NAP
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |