Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
4 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
CAG
1 - 1
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAG
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PES
0 - 3
MES
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 2
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |