Cagliari vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
CAG
44%
31%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 0
SPA
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
RIM
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAG
35%
34%
32%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAM
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 1
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 0
NOC
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
ASS
44%
33%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |