Cagliari U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
17º
56
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAG
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAG
4 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 4
CAG
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 2
INT
20%
19%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 3
GEN
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 4
GEN
28%
24%
49%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 3
GEN
16%
18%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 3
GEN
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |