Cafetaleros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
CIM
1 - 0
CAF
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAF
0 - 2
CAÑ
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAF
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAF
1 - 0
CIM
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAF
4 - 1
UAT
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
LEO
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UAT
0 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAZ
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |