Cafetaleros vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 3
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
CAF
90%
8%
3%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
3 - 1
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
CAF
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
2 - 0
PUE
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
CAF
90%
8%
3%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |