Caesar vs HVCH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
HVV
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 3
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GSV
5 - 1
CAE
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 4
WIT
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RVU
2 - 1
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 1
HVC
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HVC
1 - 0
GSV
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WIT
1 - 0
HVC
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HVC
0 - 3
RVU
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OSS
0 - 0
HVC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |