Caersws vs Queens Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 4
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
LLA
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 0
FLI
38%
22%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +4 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
CAE
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
QPA
11%
17%
73%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BLA
2 - 0
QPA
70%
17%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
LLA
0 - 0
QPA
35%
23%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 3
QPA
41%
24%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
QPA
3 - 2
HOL
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |