FAW Championship Gales North Round 7

Caersws vs Mold Alexandra analysis

Caersws Mold Alexandra
43 ELO 48
9.8% Tilt 12.9%
6484º General ELO ranking 5285º
47º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Caersws
22.8%
Draw
41.5%
Mold Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
Caersws
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.5%
Win probability
Mold Alexandra
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caersws
-53%
-20%
Mold Alexandra

ELO progression

Caersws
Mold Alexandra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2024
HOL
Holywell
3 - 1
Caersws
CAE
76%
15%
9%
44 64 20 0
16 Aug. 2024
DEN
Denbigh Town
2 - 0
Caersws
CAE
45%
22%
33%
45 42 3 -1
10 Aug. 2024
CAE
Caersws
2 - 1
Ruthin Town
RTW
48%
23%
29%
44 46 2 +1
03 Aug. 2024
FMC
Flint Mountain
2 - 3
Caersws
CAE
18%
17%
65%
44 29 15 0
27 Jul. 2024
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 2
Caersws
CAE
61%
20%
19%
42 50 8 +2

Matches

Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
7 - 0
Prestatyn Town
PRE
71%
16%
13%
47 37 10 0
23 Aug. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
0 - 1
Colwyn Bay
COL
32%
24%
44%
47 54 7 0
17 Aug. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
2 - 3
Holywell
HOL
18%
22%
60%
48 64 16 -1
10 Aug. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
2 - 1
Denbigh Town
DEN
61%
19%
20%
47 43 4 +1
06 Aug. 2024
CPD
Bangor 1876
3 - 0
Mold Alexandra
MOL
40%
23%
37%
48 47 1 -1