Cymru Alliance Round 3

Caersws vs Guilsfield FC analysis

Caersws Guilsfield FC
33 ELO 45
15.5% Tilt 18.3%
6481º General ELO ranking 4496º
47º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
29.2%
Caersws
23.4%
Draw
47.3%
Guilsfield FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
Caersws
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.3%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caersws
-61%
+20%
Guilsfield FC

ELO progression

Caersws
Guilsfield FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2017
CAE
Caersws
2 - 2
Queens Park
QPA
32%
24%
44%
36 45 9 0
15 Apr. 2017
CAE
Caersws
2 - 4
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
54%
22%
24%
38 38 0 -2
05 Apr. 2017
CAE
Caersws
3 - 2
Llanfair United
LLA
80%
12%
8%
40 29 11 -2
01 Apr. 2017
CAE
Caersws
2 - 1
Conwy Borough FC
CON
81%
12%
7%
39 26 13 +1
18 Mar. 2017
CAE
Caersws
2 - 0
Flint Town United
FLI
38%
22%
39%
35 39 4 +4

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2017
GUI
Guilsfield FC
2 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
79%
14%
8%
44 30 14 0
12 Aug. 2017
RHY
Rhyl FC
1 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
65%
20%
16%
45 52 7 -1
22 Apr. 2017
LLA
Llanfair United
0 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
15%
17%
69%
45 29 16 0
15 Apr. 2017
RTW
Ruthin Town
2 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
18%
21%
61%
45 31 14 0
08 Apr. 2017
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 2
Porthmadog
POR
63%
20%
17%
46 39 7 -1