Caersws vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MOL
2 - 2
CAE
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PRE
1 - 0
CAE
11%
18%
72%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 0
HOL
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
63%
19%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AIR
5 - 0
CAE
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AIR
1 - 1
COL
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
FMC
1 - 5
COL
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
COL
3 - 1
BUC
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
COL
5 - 0
MOL
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CPD
1 - 3
COL
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |