Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
7 - 0
LLA
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
CAE
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
RHY
24%
21%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 3
PEN
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
GUI
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 3
CEF
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RHA
0 - 3
CEF
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |