Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
4 - 2
RTW
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FLI
5 - 1
CAE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 0
RHA
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 3
CEF
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 4
LLA
15%
19%
67%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 0
RHY
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |