Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
RHY
2 - 1
CAE
74%
18%
9%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 2
HAV
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 4
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NEA
3 - 0
CEF
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
RHY
1 - 0
CEF
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 6
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |