Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 2
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 3
CAE
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 1
BFC
81%
12%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
6 - 2
GRE
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAE
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
LLA
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TNS
0 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |